{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P49","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 9th District by 49 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":27,"bestAsk":35,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":182.53400633542685,"iyNo":24.97040544539805,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2963,"cvr":null,"overround":3.39,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1172,"askDepthUsd":2010,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:31.275Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:06:20.784Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.422927214727,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.70329670329667,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.48085595964528,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:05:42.480Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.96034029264388,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:16:41.820Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.6452133885591,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:25:42.599Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.96433879971553,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:30:45.712Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.64821021334072,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:37:06.403Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.96633813013761,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:40:42.953Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.65030805599667,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:45:43.687Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.980049205448,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:50:41.707Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.66499446071518,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:05:43.534Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.9840487231897,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:10:42.848Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.668891296257,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:20:43.159Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.98690564715335,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:15:41.035Z","priceCents":27,"iy":181.92594886723526,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 183%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P31","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P34","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL09D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%209","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":122}