{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P19","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 10th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":99,"spread":6,"volume":2785,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":106,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":5.548320299775199,"iyNo":979.335148423587,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0645,"cvr":null,"overround":3.52,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":5301,"askDepthUsd":49,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T11:29:57.024Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P25","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL10D-P28","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}