{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P11","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 14th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":69,"bestAsk":76,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":30.331737800824364,"iyNo":150.26993097786132,"cri":2.226,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1014,"cvr":null,"overround":3.38,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2318,"askDepthUsd":1385,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:44:07.140Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":69,"iy":148.62489660876753,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":70,"iy":155.8381990837568,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":69,"iy":148.67004506086644,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:30:23.671Z","priceCents":70,"iy":155.88183973516556,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.77627711843493,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:55:49.888Z","priceCents":70,"iy":156.08925250659175,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:35:46.341Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.78678329456972,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:06:11.805Z","priceCents":72,"iy":172.03217656314277,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":71,"iy":164.73758729455236,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:15:41.035Z","priceCents":69,"iy":149.7693516304283,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL14D-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":110}