{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P58","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 7th District by 58 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":8,"spread":0,"volume":226,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":226,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":776.3946433856171,"iyNo":5.870658929191811,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":3.47,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":396,"askDepthUsd":415,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:35.838Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":9,"iy":675.1061541672943,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:15:32.480Z","priceCents":15,"iy":378.36104119104766,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:35:31.957Z","priceCents":11,"iy":540.2405629611003,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":15,"iy":378.38042202985093,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":14,"iy":410.1800976800976,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":13,"iy":446.87128882576917,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:56:25.781Z","priceCents":12,"iy":490.7919964843892,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T08:15:50.317Z","priceCents":11,"iy":541.5889822278456,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T08:21:44.965Z","priceCents":7,"iy":889.3251896349401,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:00:52.015Z","priceCents":8,"iy":770.3615881836902,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:05:23.510Z","priceCents":9,"iy":677.3264782958821,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:35:37.563Z","priceCents":7,"iy":893.9863124888398,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T11:05:58.132Z","priceCents":8,"iy":775.6443067985062,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 776%","tight LAS 0.000","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 8c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P58","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":8},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P34","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IN07D-P40","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 7t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Indiana's%207t","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":122}