{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P23","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 3rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":22,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":34,"spread":1,"volume":3199,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1231,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":164.71271119412637,"iyNo":39.95815159064461,"cri":2.03,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.92,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":710,"askDepthUsd":964,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:35:53.930Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T22:31:49.999Z","priceCents":17,"iy":385.155121081989,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T09:46:48.759Z","priceCents":16,"iy":414.5771043100874,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T15:16:01.316Z","priceCents":17,"iy":385.7362022752515,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T05:16:00.927Z","priceCents":16,"iy":415.306693020897,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:59.119Z","priceCents":19,"iy":337.6000467718516,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:16:00.738Z","priceCents":16,"iy":415.9458385880525,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:32:12.528Z","priceCents":19,"iy":337.76859543787907,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T05:31:39.631Z","priceCents":16,"iy":416.2186817841202,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T17:03:09.839Z","priceCents":19,"iy":338.3355652532751,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T23:16:04.112Z","priceCents":18,"iy":361.7439515154328,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T01:47:22.285Z","priceCents":19,"iy":338.6035538198123,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:16:00.979Z","priceCents":16,"iy":417.0012469234937,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:31:57.633Z","priceCents":19,"iy":338.6263966406063,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T05:32:14.368Z","priceCents":16,"iy":417.12560460084376,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T16:01:13.933Z","priceCents":19,"iy":339.04104994126845,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T23:31:20.131Z","priceCents":18,"iy":362.54135066942365,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T00:16:13.754Z","priceCents":19,"iy":339.29462065679365,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T04:02:06.408Z","priceCents":18,"iy":362.6900184265434,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T05:31:11.902Z","priceCents":16,"iy":418.03466442696805,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:15:57.539Z","priceCents":18,"iy":363.0939339656725,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:56.018Z","priceCents":16,"iy":418.48108563766357,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:31:13.178Z","priceCents":18,"iy":363.135168057694,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T18:31:07.085Z","priceCents":19,"iy":339.8585641196951,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:02:00.782Z","priceCents":16,"iy":418.8533745428952,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T16:47:14.326Z","priceCents":19,"iy":340.5480606441629,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:46:15.022Z","priceCents":16,"iy":419.4548236483868,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:23.067Z","priceCents":19,"iy":340.6800302964971,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:45:56.551Z","priceCents":16,"iy":419.60821238690016,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.908Z","priceCents":19,"iy":340.74194960407556,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:15:56.719Z","priceCents":18,"iy":364.1204271437971,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:02:10.207Z","priceCents":19,"iy":340.8046378479545,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:46:11.639Z","priceCents":18,"iy":364.20416947455556,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:15:58.643Z","priceCents":19,"iy":340.8740696005703,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.946Z","priceCents":16,"iy":419.7902199010686,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:01:38.127Z","priceCents":21,"iy":301.8348965732659,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:46:17.610Z","priceCents":20,"iy":320.9898800245359,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T22:31:24.870Z","priceCents":19,"iy":342.22501007922983,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T00:46:40.778Z","priceCents":20,"iy":321.16640599393304,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:16:40.963Z","priceCents":16,"iy":421.5503814577229,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.488Z","priceCents":21,"iy":302.5071850046239,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:46:17.542Z","priceCents":20,"iy":321.6673827070734,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T19:31:24.898Z","priceCents":21,"iy":302.56917800658385,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T20:17:34.154Z","priceCents":20,"iy":321.74252224100275,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T23:46:22.541Z","priceCents":21,"iy":302.6879021623684,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:31:28.651Z","priceCents":20,"iy":321.95608166217545,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:31:49.608Z","priceCents":19,"iy":343.16918629728286,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:04.490Z","priceCents":16,"iy":422.62607103867316,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T10:02:07.649Z","priceCents":17,"iy":393.2107896677261,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T11:45:52.764Z","priceCents":39,"iy":125.98837783385434,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T17:45:58.643Z","priceCents":33,"iy":163.63107766002537,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 165%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 20c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P23","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":20},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Kansas's%203rd","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}