{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P41","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 3rd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":13,"spread":5,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":847.8479105270493,"iyNo":6.410948283758406,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":3.54,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:26:45.783Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.848Z","priceCents":8,"iy":799.9367292450007,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 848%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P20","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-KY03D-P23","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Kentucky's%203","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":153}