{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P13","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 6th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":99,"spread":99,"volume":600,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":300,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":526,"iyYes":464.1748519113391,"iyNo":10.364057335581494,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":7.6154,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.34,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":99,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":50,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-26T09:33:44.797Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 6th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 6th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 6th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 6th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:45:32.742Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2158.9665254999527,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:50:34.084Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.38514043626522,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":55,"iy":81.61206077872745,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":57,"iy":88.51420075378104,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.98930241986193,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:11:47.790Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1624.7556374940182,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:25:38.419Z","priceCents":46,"iy":79.47926123562952,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:00:40.412Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1624.9816818560407,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T21:50:42.041Z","priceCents":12,"iy":496.86135835584065,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T21:55:42.527Z","priceCents":13,"iy":453.43278820969084,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T20:31:49.430Z","priceCents":10,"iy":610.8559421313944,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T21:25:47.303Z","priceCents":11,"iy":549.1921288265937,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:16:04.544Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1651.175897355668,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:16:23.184Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3371.9516218738513,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:39.729Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2225.1551575143376,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T11:00:47.794Z","priceCents":13,"iy":461.6117263188313,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 464%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7","illiquid (LAS 7.62)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA06D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Louisiana's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}