{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P27","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisiana be at least 27 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Louisiana by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":18,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":96,"spread":96,"volume":100,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":100,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":526,"iyYes":315.97087620529226,"iyNo":15.22524745546024,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":5.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":0.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":96,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":55,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-26T09:33:44.906Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Louisi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T01:00:44.814Z","priceCents":20,"iy":273.1100689696455,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:46:26.541Z","priceCents":16,"iy":359.6275075397444,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:00:38.288Z","priceCents":15,"iy":388.17665822749973,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.752Z","priceCents":8,"iy":791.1273116560994,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:16:16.340Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3371.417691978533,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":18,"iy":314.15784390102385,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 316%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 5.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LASENR-P25","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senat","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":140}