{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P18","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":78,"bestBid":76,"bestAsk":77,"spread":1,"volume":20,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":10,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":33.13644410611288,"iyNo":198.62165842914982,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.48,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1160,"askDepthUsd":906,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:35:36.469Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":5,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:59.119Z","priceCents":74,"iy":225.3873056795932,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:17:04.788Z","priceCents":75,"iy":237.57607316041268,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T19:47:12.747Z","priceCents":76,"iy":250.83134223522373,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T09:01:17.447Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.16026751935848,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T17:03:09.839Z","priceCents":74,"iy":225.87834983195853,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T18:32:37.153Z","priceCents":75,"iy":238.1200908118264,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T02:16:05.111Z","priceCents":76,"iy":252.07365566774988,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T07:46:07.270Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.9855421775585,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:15:57.539Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.11063944080863,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:31:10.215Z","priceCents":74,"iy":226.8535090735524,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:45:54.213Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.12160480077569,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:56.018Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.15374108554428,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:31:13.178Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.13779359896918,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:45:54.302Z","priceCents":74,"iy":226.8792718359749,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T18:31:07.085Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.1597303064521,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T20:46:11.625Z","priceCents":76,"iy":252.4976698124199,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:45:54.544Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.34058986752567,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T16:47:14.326Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.64493156441085,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:46:15.022Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.60783237461717,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:23.067Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.73779909753495,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:45:56.551Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.67936341195343,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.908Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.7813719436087,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.946Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.76424047931607,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T16:47:34.781Z","priceCents":75,"iy":240.17108076986347,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:16:53.601Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.61794130253205,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T02:17:08.809Z","priceCents":75,"iy":240.37933835312714,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:15:59.967Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.77998610888497,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:30:56.702Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.2297982312437,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:01:38.127Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.07621040660987,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T03:32:17.676Z","priceCents":72,"iy":206.5163613137332,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.488Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.2399070290039,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T18:02:46.459Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.66007745191575,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:31:28.651Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.4670612466316,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:15:55.905Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.8993230373855,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:31:49.608Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.48942739438422,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:03.955Z","priceCents":72,"iy":207.0005245903705,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T17:45:58.643Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.78323415436589,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:32:02.260Z","priceCents":72,"iy":207.31464114687594,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:45:56.189Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.8724238930195,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T22:32:04.595Z","priceCents":76,"iy":255.32782841380856,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:16:36.775Z","priceCents":77,"iy":269.97822018791567,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T06:46:27.168Z","priceCents":72,"iy":207.49109162105492,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:15:57.732Z","priceCents":76,"iy":255.76853003353207,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T22:00:54.359Z","priceCents":77,"iy":270.5191233582603,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T05:00:56.904Z","priceCents":71,"iy":197.95946303524298,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:15:58.502Z","priceCents":77,"iy":271.00027982309626,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T18:31:06.928Z","priceCents":76,"iy":256.365896053333,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T03:15:57.066Z","priceCents":77,"iy":271.2511341540261,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T03:31:17.250Z","priceCents":71,"iy":198.3716606926803,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T17:32:56.183Z","priceCents":76,"iy":256.9123689876579,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 70c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P18","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":70},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P21","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}