{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P24","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":56,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":70.26962282520425,"iyNo":64.86634540688789,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":3.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1568,"askDepthUsd":1593,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:54:40.709Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.49717348293998,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.77350427350427,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.49933485608373,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:30:20.673Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.79122162059292,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.52006543662523,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:15:15.069Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.81543015407821,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:25:48.671Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.54348169301001,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:30:17.530Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.81665327282613,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:35:16.462Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.5443728403278,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:40:13.679Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.81750948259449,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T08:45:21.634Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.54526401048466,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T22:55:48.636Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.89024501988382,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:00:46.683Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.62096945451493,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA01D-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}