{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P28","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 3rd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":56,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":70.26819310144893,"iyNo":64.86502561959972,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":3.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1613,"askDepthUsd":1592,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:37.129Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.49717348293998,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.77301565232663,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":51,"iy":69.49895342752485,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":50,"iy":66.77387074408045,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:56:20.454Z","priceCents":51,"iy":69.65249820480649,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:15:33.446Z","priceCents":52,"iy":72.49950801176863,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:25:34.983Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.56234809186765,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":49,"iy":70.03359919765536,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA03D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":120}