{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 4th District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":68,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":43.1646574152894,"iyNo":105.5987444065035,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1148,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2607,"askDepthUsd":1078,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:54:40.078Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":61,"iy":104.43793440950608,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":64,"iy":118.70845204178538,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:10:42.322Z","priceCents":65,"iy":124.13238136397551,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:16:41.820Z","priceCents":64,"iy":118.82844915851554,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":61,"iy":105.24405631060425,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P20","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P23","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":116}