{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P41","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 4th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":14,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":896.9528178243772,"iyNo":5.081591868816569,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":396,"askDepthUsd":946,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:53:10.708Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":7,"iy":887.1109791645866,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":13,"iy":446.8688362919131,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.6750521232567,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:40:28.929Z","priceCents":14,"iy":410.20035915726885,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.7064078967751,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:25:17.905Z","priceCents":13,"iy":447.05285106530346,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":7,"iy":893.9582956406592,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 897%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P20","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA04D-P23","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":144}