{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P45","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 5th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":71,"bestAsk":78,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":27.575559899795344,"iyNo":165.28941433396943,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0986,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":903,"askDepthUsd":1841,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:37.823Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P39","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P63","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.47577183715225,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.70329670329667,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.48085595964523,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":77,"iy":223.56039395947053,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":71,"iy":163.49132426647816,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.7400561331197,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:10:19.750Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.57904709700793,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.7554557846035,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:30:49.845Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.7490492952754,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:05:45.060Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.91401264052072,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:20:42.037Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.7881222237624,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:30:43.399Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.94550714502935,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:50:44.375Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.79507765129924,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:00:45.802Z","priceCents":74,"iy":190.3230757110973,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":71,"iy":164.73758729455236,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P39","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P42","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P48","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}