{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P57","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 5th District by 57 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":35,"spread":7,"volume":655,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":155,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":173.60377119181499,"iyNo":26.25489132221894,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1569,"askDepthUsd":5479,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:44:06.879Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P39","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P63","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.69889919314582,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.47995873857943,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.70423905620686,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.490426930504,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.7152339378302,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.51495765931134,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:10:19.750Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.84219133029455,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.52961977959376,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:20:43.159Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.98690564715335,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:05:45.060Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.6805829163579,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.08725002367274,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:55:49.888Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.8961993956889,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:05:54.273Z","priceCents":32,"iy":142.15453584081257,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:35:46.341Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.90384069624443,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:00:30.259Z","priceCents":34,"iy":130.3442918127877,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:40:36.806Z","priceCents":28,"iy":173.0308848277987,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 174%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P39","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P42","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA05D-P45","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":117}