{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P46","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 8th District by 46 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":36,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":173.6073034505046,"iyNo":26.255425521835573,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2857,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1127,"askDepthUsd":2862,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:54:20.389Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.69889919314582,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.47995873857943,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.8056984028544,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:20:43.923Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.77595227685688,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:25:42.599Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.96433879971553,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:30:45.712Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.77785944429564,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:37:06.403Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.96633813013761,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:20:43.159Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.7985689813859,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":28,"iy":173.08513048563944,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 174%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.29)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P28","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P34","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":115}