{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P11","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 9th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":82,"bestAsk":85,"spread":3,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":14.819834126130555,"iyNo":307.55729834599316,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0366,"cvr":null,"overround":3.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":934,"askDepthUsd":396,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:05.916Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":82,"iy":304.1826177063756,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":83,"iy":326.0118149824031,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":82,"iy":304.19207783414424,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":85,"iy":378.40742007858427,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":82,"iy":304.2115564207238,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":83,"iy":326.08160984752465,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":82,"iy":304.2828136430938,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:05:42.480Z","priceCents":83,"iy":326.33718262914545,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:29:42.846Z","priceCents":84,"iy":351.24266125085455,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":82,"iy":306.6051120793809,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.037","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}