{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P29","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 9th District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":24,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":329.6269389043894,"iyNo":13.828158708574332,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4118,"cvr":null,"overround":3.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":396,"askDepthUsd":3009,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:54:21.043Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.1826177063757,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":19,"iy":284.66599190283404,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.19207783414436,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.11112005547125,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.2115564207239,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":19,"iy":284.7269351680669,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.2828136430939,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:25:17.905Z","priceCents":19,"iy":284.78321365503,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:45:30.460Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.3234674776537,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:20:43.159Z","priceCents":19,"iy":284.9986321222426,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:41:31.169Z","priceCents":18,"iy":304.57710288457827,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":19,"iy":285.1819680883645,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:26:02.967Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.5918747376775,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:35:46.341Z","priceCents":21,"iy":251.667015779919,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":17,"iy":328.6354928501847,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 330%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.41)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA09D-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Massachusett","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":116}