{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P79","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 79 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 4th District by 79 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":47,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":105.59659586738606,"iyNo":43.163779176107006,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2051,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":989,"askDepthUsd":1888,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:37.283Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P76","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P82","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P85","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P88","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:11:28.660Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.446862996159,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:25:31.577Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.766760382007,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":39,"iy":104.43793440950608,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.16025641025638,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":39,"iy":105.28112637801716,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 106%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.21)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P64","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P67","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MD04D-P70","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Maryland's%204","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}