{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P20","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 6th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":93,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":98,"spread":5,"volume":987,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":227,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":5.081300509842375,"iyNo":896.901389992383,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0538,"cvr":null,"overround":3.47,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":957,"askDepthUsd":342,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:00:44.298Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:15:50.035Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.464815062091,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:35:31.957Z","priceCents":91,"iy":675.13208929346,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":92,"iy":767.8952991452996,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":93,"iy":887.1385684570695,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T11:10:52.576Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1047.0088991178993,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:25:23.069Z","priceCents":93,"iy":889.9421203352764,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":91,"iy":680.5878278972368,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T19:35:23.895Z","priceCents":92,"iy":774.7195044748247,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T17:51:03.395Z","priceCents":93,"iy":896.5531631330584,"cri":13.286}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 84c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P20","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":84},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P23","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P26","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI06D-P29","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 6"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Michigan's%206","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}