{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 2nd District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":12,"spread":1,"volume":886,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":188,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":546.2381285479836,"iyNo":8.3442511746378,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0909,"cvr":null,"overround":3.47,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2171,"askDepthUsd":926,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:38.266Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:15:50.035Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.464815062091,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:11:26.685Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2159.0376198813187,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:27:26.468Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1050.0755344336633,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:25:47.309Z","priceCents":10,"iy":603.4177138459108,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T12:25:20.384Z","priceCents":11,"iy":544.7599492686534,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T12:50:25.381Z","priceCents":10,"iy":605.9879355826522,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T13:00:20.142Z","priceCents":11,"iy":544.7840677870028,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 546%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 7c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P25","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":7},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P7","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Minnesota's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":113}