{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 2nd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":72,"bestBid":74,"bestAsk":81,"spread":7,"volume":1967,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1125,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":25.90584184650071,"iyNo":209.8526478571566,"cri":2.846,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0946,"cvr":null,"overround":3.43,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":8081,"askDepthUsd":1120,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T14:24:25.246Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:30:47.596Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.8751597943632,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:45:47.129Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.68701758584862,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:16:35.366Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.90127358912022,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:46:04.060Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.71559792744307,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:15:33.790Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.91594342478268,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:45:33.412Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.7295511766362,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:00:24.851Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.9270367725497,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:30:22.273Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.74010264089176,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:15:34.796Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.94564791026232,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:30:49.968Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.75440016063408,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:45:22.832Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.9682009584297,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:16:06.147Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.7792560551609,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:55.045Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.98323933113102,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:15:40.938Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.79355983964638,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:46.558Z","priceCents":73,"iy":187.9943406259897,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:45:23.254Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.8003719700889,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:00:46.641Z","priceCents":73,"iy":188.00186160297105,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:21.832Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.81467913379666,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:15:23.704Z","priceCents":73,"iy":188.02048756475043,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:45:23.462Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.82898858733535,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":73,"iy":188.0351760216019,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:30:35.019Z","priceCents":72,"iy":178.83955179596282,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:45:25.531Z","priceCents":73,"iy":188.0427002663579,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":74,"iy":197.96595659847432,"cri":2.846}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 65c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P7","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":65},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN02D-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Minnesota's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":164}