{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P34","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":35,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":173.60377119181499,"iyNo":26.25489132221894,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":3.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1269,"askDepthUsd":2647,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:48:05.891Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:15:50.035Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.464815062091,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:35:31.957Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.69764280304628,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.47995873857943,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.8056984028544,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:35:20.647Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.6994334837942,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:40:14.733Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.15765383362458,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":28,"iy":173.06630019811743,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 174%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN03D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Minnesota's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":163}