{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 8th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":75,"bestAsk":81,"spread":6,"volume":971.87,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":133.87,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":27.008647947083762,"iyNo":243.07783152375393,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":2.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":6067,"askDepthUsd":405,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T03:54:47.084Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T05:31:27.650Z","priceCents":71,"iy":192.84210870966936,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T16:32:14.505Z","priceCents":75,"iy":236.5337757270984,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:16:17.328Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.41886647285162,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:30:58.370Z","priceCents":75,"iy":236.55472623381115,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:46:12.097Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.42856300077855,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T22:16:00.236Z","priceCents":71,"iy":193.13302002285997,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T22:31:49.999Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.52508912008443,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T02:32:29.208Z","priceCents":75,"iy":236.74703093278328,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T03:01:20.921Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.61587027132032,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T09:46:48.759Z","priceCents":71,"iy":193.33316522834946,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T15:16:00.814Z","priceCents":74,"iy":224.8638287591596,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T05:16:00.927Z","priceCents":71,"iy":193.6734003578567,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:58.769Z","priceCents":73,"iy":214.10665974968364,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T20:30:58.125Z","priceCents":72,"iy":203.6962971919675,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:16:00.232Z","priceCents":71,"iy":193.97145838917388,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:32:12.133Z","priceCents":72,"iy":203.73343851808573,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T03:02:14.441Z","priceCents":73,"iy":214.30100713832672,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T05:31:39.208Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.0986956103286,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T17:03:09.459Z","priceCents":73,"iy":214.57312711764627,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T01:47:22.285Z","priceCents":72,"iy":204.23706420877562,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:16:00.602Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.46363567532381,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:31:57.269Z","priceCents":72,"iy":204.2508424181434,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T05:32:13.894Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.52162841812742,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T16:01:13.933Z","priceCents":72,"iy":204.50095075822537,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T23:31:20.131Z","priceCents":73,"iy":215.1668178769749,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T00:16:13.754Z","priceCents":72,"iy":204.65389817393898,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T02:02:25.223Z","priceCents":73,"iy":215.21608842235173,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T05:31:11.523Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.94555779517066,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:15:57.539Z","priceCents":73,"iy":215.49477381702508,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:55.629Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.15374108554428,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:31:12.668Z","priceCents":73,"iy":215.51924608302159,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:16:18.549Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.0079350864372,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:02:00.152Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.32735364561938,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T16:47:13.868Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.4099413409236,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:46:13.543Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.60783237461717,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:22.673Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.48954208360138,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:45:56.129Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.67936341195343,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.451Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.52689023737884,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:15:56.719Z","priceCents":73,"iy":216.10399334550553,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:15:58.643Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.60658166383604,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.608Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.76424047931607,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:01:29.952Z","priceCents":72,"iy":205.86499016736167,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:30:56.286Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.2297982312437,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:01:37.654Z","priceCents":72,"iy":206.31752423995385,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:45:59.229Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.4498037207585,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:46:17.610Z","priceCents":72,"iy":206.3506371586302,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:16:40.505Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.5850711559824,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.488Z","priceCents":72,"iy":206.77706316771759,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:03.955Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.91731268999334,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T22:00:54.359Z","priceCents":75,"iy":242.4132404119475,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P1","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MN08R-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Minnesota'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Minnesota'","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":109}