{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Mississippi's 1st District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":57,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":70.26819310144893,"iyNo":64.86502561959972,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1633,"cvr":null,"overround":3.39,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1423,"askDepthUsd":1424,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:41:09.464Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P39","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:15:50.035Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.464815062091,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:25:30.716Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.495775019011,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":51,"iy":69.49844486262568,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":52,"iy":72.33796296296296,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.2981946688567,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:35:29.570Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.3897293943588,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.30301630134163,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:56:22.318Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.46954840078185,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:16:14.101Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.37969428068992,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:51:19.169Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.55889114862505,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":49,"iy":70.05064531828565,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.16)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississipp"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P21","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississipp"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MS01R-P24","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississipp"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Mississipp","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":146}