{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P11","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":77,"spread":71,"volume":1369,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":697,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":1414.1374173918705,"iyNo":5.761537689690735,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":71,"bidDepthUsd":815,"askDepthUsd":70,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T06:34:07.658Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T15:46:05.267Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1598.0440954171734,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T16:01:40.298Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2719.5474820469926,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T22:01:06.332Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1599.0020935744783,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T04:02:42.962Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2722.6908075252545,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T04:31:43.404Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1600.0055371496596,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:31:24.931Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2725.432235616523,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T15:32:22.519Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1601.6980077509706,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:46:08.295Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2726.282191960144,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T18:46:01.116Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1602.1975635507558,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:03:20.438Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2726.622322954379,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T07:31:02.884Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1615.3752981514608,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T12:16:04.329Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2750.24041785322,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T20:01:15.675Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2752.3121209789074,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T20:33:21.446Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1617.421035569269,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T21:31:35.394Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2752.7165631045013,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-02T18:31:18.536Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1339.6493250213382,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1414%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P11","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Caro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P2","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Caro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NC01R-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Caro"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20North%20Caro","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":135}