{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P13","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Hampshire's 1st District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":40,"bestBid":41,"bestAsk":42,"spread":1,"volume":3946.93,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1603,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":451,"iyYes":116.56596399429746,"iyNo":56.29054452008444,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5824,"askDepthUsd":2162,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T01:03:11.031Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District Hou","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T07:00:56.098Z","priceCents":33,"iy":158.57228273214298,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T13:46:27.768Z","priceCents":37,"iy":133.06608624892925,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T14:16:37.970Z","priceCents":38,"iy":127.5135035842395,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T05:45:59.458Z","priceCents":33,"iy":158.894605542761,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T16:31:07.278Z","priceCents":37,"iy":133.38423144899127,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T20:01:02.089Z","priceCents":38,"iy":127.85268839232052,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T02:32:33.959Z","priceCents":33,"iy":159.1901954722806,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T16:01:00.889Z","priceCents":38,"iy":128.08174411225824,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T16:01:25.733Z","priceCents":37,"iy":133.9534669132024,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T17:32:17.645Z","priceCents":38,"iy":128.37551591300462,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T05:31:27.650Z","priceCents":33,"iy":159.91985370161652,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T16:16:00.097Z","priceCents":37,"iy":134.2457098731575,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:30:58.370Z","priceCents":38,"iy":128.65257040786219,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T22:16:00.236Z","priceCents":33,"iy":160.1611002579671,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T22:31:49.999Z","priceCents":38,"iy":128.71068409017644,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T09:46:48.759Z","priceCents":33,"iy":160.32707641429062,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-29T15:16:00.814Z","priceCents":38,"iy":128.90486911798197,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T05:16:00.927Z","priceCents":33,"iy":160.6092261610395,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:58.769Z","priceCents":38,"iy":129.2049561719432,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:16:00.232Z","priceCents":33,"iy":160.8563993385253,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:32:12.133Z","priceCents":38,"iy":129.26946245153397,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T05:31:11.523Z","priceCents":33,"iy":161.664199230054,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:31:10.215Z","priceCents":37,"iy":135.71440754655913,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:55.629Z","priceCents":33,"iy":161.83684119898098,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:31:12.668Z","priceCents":37,"iy":135.72685582644198,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T20:30:54.476Z","priceCents":38,"iy":130.0929103675369,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:02:00.152Z","priceCents":33,"iy":161.98081439754094,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T16:47:13.868Z","priceCents":37,"iy":136.01469088790887,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:46:13.543Z","priceCents":33,"iy":162.21340943400816,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:22.673Z","priceCents":37,"iy":136.0673994877901,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:45:56.129Z","priceCents":33,"iy":162.27272859984015,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.451Z","priceCents":37,"iy":136.09213002204817,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.608Z","priceCents":33,"iy":162.34311534413618,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:01:29.952Z","priceCents":37,"iy":136.31600700271244,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T20:46:26.069Z","priceCents":38,"iy":130.66693489091244,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:30:56.286Z","priceCents":33,"iy":162.729192472602,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:01:37.654Z","priceCents":39,"iy":125.49513226561298,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:16:40.505Z","priceCents":34,"iy":155.86736793394792,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T05:46:00.328Z","priceCents":35,"iy":149.18123240360995,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:36.488Z","priceCents":39,"iy":125.77465238264305,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:03.955Z","priceCents":35,"iy":149.5003788708232,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T17:45:57.691Z","priceCents":38,"iy":131.49614489097092,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:16:58.261Z","priceCents":39,"iy":126.09885538599275,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:32:01.741Z","priceCents":35,"iy":149.7272408282993,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:45:55.701Z","priceCents":39,"iy":126.10442613225801,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:45:53.996Z","priceCents":35,"iy":149.82718562972573,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:15:57.183Z","priceCents":39,"iy":126.33101483437616,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T23:30:55.808Z","priceCents":41,"iy":116.29574166414432,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T05:00:56.422Z","priceCents":35,"iy":150.16240958608978,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:15:58.076Z","priceCents":41,"iy":116.48634137470437,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 117%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 36c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P13","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshire's 1st District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":36},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshir"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshir"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NH01D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Hampshir"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20Hampshir","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":252}