{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P13","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":65,"bestAsk":72,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":502,"iyYes":39.14508363029207,"iyNo":135.01059456161963,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1077,"cvr":null,"overround":3.64,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":2034,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T13:28:19.443Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.588Z","priceCents":46,"iy":80.75779740912925,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:00:59.771Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1651.1447748618864,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:39.729Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1307.5654018383216,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:15:23.022Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6813.245242889788,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:30:38.687Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1377.4159398902436,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:46:02.614Z","priceCents":65,"iy":134.63758230059167,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ05D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20Jersey's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}