{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 8th District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":96,"bestAsk":99,"spread":3,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":3.3795169790636646,"iyNo":1946.6017799406673,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":7.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":300,"askDepthUsd":1,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T16:34:19.419Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P35","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P29","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P32","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P35","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20Jersey's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":128}