{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P35","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 8th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":59,"bestAsk":67,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":46.915520086676935,"iyNo":97.15224593796691,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1356,"cvr":null,"overround":3.47,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1647,"askDepthUsd":926,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:30.629Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 8th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:10:33.919Z","priceCents":59,"iy":96.08254916484029,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":60,"iy":100.16025641025638,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":63,"iy":113.69605018586672,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":59,"iy":96.85146610003048,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P26","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P29","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ08D-P32","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20Jersey's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":123}