{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P63","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 10th District by 63 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":36,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":173.60377119181499,"iyNo":26.25489132221894,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2857,"cvr":null,"overround":3.45,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":905,"askDepthUsd":1880,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:02.386Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P66","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P69","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 10th District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:15:32.480Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.69324558249218,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.47995873857943,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.70423905620686,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.490426930504,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.7152339378302,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:10:19.750Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.5191465682401,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:05:18.836Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.7563987101277,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:25:17.905Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.54727765884866,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:40:45.502Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.77746007808156,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:05:42.480Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.64311567651797,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:56:22.318Z","priceCents":30,"iy":155.97033694476394,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:30:43.465Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.66079807610942,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:50:44.375Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.02862865797061,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T19:15:59.876Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.84327763239838,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:55:54.691Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.24445806105217,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":35,"iy":124.46652519365105,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:06:26.659Z","priceCents":33,"iy":136.07954145507006,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T01:27:26.468Z","priceCents":35,"iy":124.47703903620935,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:55:44.322Z","priceCents":33,"iy":136.12978593194543,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:10:55.608Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.6905964790918,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:50:48.034Z","priceCents":33,"iy":136.34819230341634,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":28,"iy":173.08513048563944,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 174%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.29)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P45","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P48","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NJ10D-P51","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20Jersey's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":156}