{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P66","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 8th District by 66 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":15,"spread":2,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":451.81494297356977,"iyNo":10.088086320852597,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1538,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":396,"askDepthUsd":935,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:44:26.049Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P63","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.63743049496065,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:10:33.919Z","priceCents":14,"iy":410.15383578114637,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:35:31.957Z","priceCents":7,"iy":887.1044878157392,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:50:34.084Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.66519828086666,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":13,"iy":446.8688362919131,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.6750521232567,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:35:29.570Z","priceCents":13,"iy":446.8884573165582,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.7064078967751,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:25:17.905Z","priceCents":13,"iy":447.05285106530346,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:40:45.502Z","priceCents":12,"iy":489.8838676300846,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:56:22.318Z","priceCents":13,"iy":447.3434938745426,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:16:14.101Z","priceCents":12,"iy":490.2050558882602,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:25:44.086Z","priceCents":13,"iy":447.39429279578957,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 452%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7","illiquid (LAS 0.15)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P42","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P45","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY08D-P48","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%208","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":118}