{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P50","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 9th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":49,"bestAsk":57,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":70.26819310144893,"iyNo":64.86502561959972,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1633,"cvr":null,"overround":3.53,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1772,"askDepthUsd":1912,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:44:26.996Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":49,"iy":69.49399523722539,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":52,"iy":72.33743362335386,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.2977814148027,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:20:43.923Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.4659559267355,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:30:45.712Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.37527692475417,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:00:50.832Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.46997951977328,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:05:42.336Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.37858989316697,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:25:41.134Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.47242261687495,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:30:43.465Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.38107481060239,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":49,"iy":70.05064531828565,"cri":1.041}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.16)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P38","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P41","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY09D-P44","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%209","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":112}