{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P69","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 69 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 12th District by 69 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":42,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":47,"spread":8,"volume":6.29,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3.29,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":105.59659586738606,"iyNo":43.163779176107006,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2051,"cvr":null,"overround":3.72,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":982,"askDepthUsd":5512,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:15.754Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P60","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P63","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P66","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P72","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P75","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P78","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.542609624573,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":39,"iy":104.43315825242168,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.08799813383591,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.455Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.21102971102972,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.08922863172555,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T13:56:22.318Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.30897492649295,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:16:14.101Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.19323158782933,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T08:45:21.093Z","priceCents":39,"iy":105.28112637801716,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 106%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.21)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P54","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P57","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY12D-P60","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2107}