{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P58","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 15th District by 58 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":59,"bestAsk":67,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":46.915520086676935,"iyNo":97.15224593796691,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1356,"cvr":null,"overround":3.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1954,"askDepthUsd":1042,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:16.512Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":61,"iy":104.43315825242168,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:00:46.683Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.13751558452857,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:05:59.734Z","priceCents":63,"iy":113.94786821848516,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:20:35.156Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.19034323113476,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:25:34.983Z","priceCents":63,"iy":113.9507931782945,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:35:15.504Z","priceCents":64,"iy":118.97660561373999,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:00:26.594Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.27930515553011,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:40:24.916Z","priceCents":64,"iy":119.07747580219275,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":59,"iy":96.85146610003048,"cri":1.439}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P49","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P55","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":167}