{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P67","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 15th District by 67 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":27,"bestAsk":35,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":182.53400633542685,"iyNo":24.97040544539805,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2963,"cvr":null,"overround":3.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1191,"askDepthUsd":2315,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:12.706Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P61","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P64","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 15th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":28,"iy":171.69104705667448,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:15:48.041Z","priceCents":29,"iy":163.7699740596956,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:40:33.015Z","priceCents":30,"iy":156.11013860502916,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:10:55.689Z","priceCents":31,"iy":148.92185543682146,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:00:52.396Z","priceCents":32,"iy":142.20796602959936,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":27,"iy":181.92460735658182,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 183%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P49","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P52","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY15D-P55","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":109}