{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P35","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":82,"bestAsk":85,"spread":3,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":14.819834126130555,"iyNo":307.55729834599316,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0366,"cvr":null,"overround":3.54,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":951,"askDepthUsd":396,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:44:27.767Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P44","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":82,"iy":304.168706822627,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:00:46.683Z","priceCents":83,"iy":326.58417851385485,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:45:54.768Z","priceCents":84,"iy":351.35729805550204,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:55:25.085Z","priceCents":82,"iy":305.11811424976,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:45:46.671Z","priceCents":84,"iy":351.65260667942675,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":82,"iy":306.6051120793809,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.037","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P32","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P38","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY16D-P41","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%201","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":110}