{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 25th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":62,"bestAsk":69,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":41.378676646077764,"iyNo":110.15210043457266,"cri":1.632,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1129,"cvr":null,"overround":3.63,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2610,"askDepthUsd":970,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:11.017Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":61,"iy":104.43315825242168,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T02:10:55.689Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.16392301661742,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:10:34.692Z","priceCents":63,"iy":113.94870390596535,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:20:35.156Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.19034323113476,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:40:14.733Z","priceCents":63,"iy":113.95288252723954,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T16:00:26.594Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.27930515553011,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:15:22.474Z","priceCents":63,"iy":114.05388938394631,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":62,"iy":109.81107351751898,"cri":1.632}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":122}