{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P40","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 25th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":13,"spread":3,"volume":1594,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":110,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":607.6131991713524,"iyNo":7.501397520633982,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3,"cvr":null,"overround":3.63,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":1089,"askDepthUsd":738,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:13.276Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":7,"iy":887.070409792818,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:00:52.396Z","priceCents":8,"iy":769.5960514543027,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:15:22.474Z","priceCents":9,"iy":677.2829727614591,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:30:55.640Z","priceCents":10,"iy":603.1905751702153,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 608%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.30)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-NY25D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20New%20York's%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":121}