{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P34","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":95,"spread":0,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":3.553089830190539,"iyNo":1282.665428698782,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":3.58,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":955,"askDepthUsd":212,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:01:00.440Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:55:34.635Z","priceCents":93,"iy":887.0590510336617,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:05:54.273Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1048.0412838459897,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T00:26:02.967Z","priceCents":93,"iy":888.787298235858,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:05:21.866Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1049.1623214038889,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:45:39.971Z","priceCents":93,"iy":893.9302805484781,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:05:50.728Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1054.1600455215241,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T06:40:24.676Z","priceCents":93,"iy":894.1297203240209,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T17:55:22.188Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1055.2805859129412,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T16:10:58.244Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1282.0015121517463,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.000","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P40","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P43","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Ohio's%203rd%20D","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":121}