{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P58","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House election be at least 58 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 3rd District by 58 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":14,"spread":6,"volume":2,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":847.8479105270493,"iyNo":6.410948283758406,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":300,"askDepthUsd":5326,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:23:47.602Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":7,"iy":924.0959132338046,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.522Z","priceCents":8,"iy":799.9367292450007,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 848%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P58","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd District House election be at least 58 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P34","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH03D-P40","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 3rd D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Ohio's%203rd%20D","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}