{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P13","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 7th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":12,"spread":7,"volume":1489,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1186,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":502,"iyYes":1381.2622366688772,"iyNo":3.8262111819082483,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.4,"cvr":null,"overround":0.35,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":892,"askDepthUsd":5325,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T13:28:26.783Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:30:43.005Z","priceCents":8,"iy":796.3958699356053,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:30:23.075Z","priceCents":7,"iy":920.1314016492157,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:15:45.130Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6856.879365603456,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1669.3345529384865,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T09:30:26.412Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1116.3626685200043,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T11:15:32.383Z","priceCents":7,"iy":946.8376264821096,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T13:15:42.892Z","priceCents":8,"iy":819.708947179303,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:16:03.894Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1710.9742592126004,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T02:01:58.958Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1120.055888536321,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T06:01:04.387Z","priceCents":7,"iy":950.1435641873828,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T07:01:58.475Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1716.5296316907422,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:30:34.468Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1379.3583547148794,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1381%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 1.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH07R-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Ohio's%207th","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}