{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P9","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 9th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":34,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":55,"spread":55,"volume":538.13,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":246,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":175.21852856294763,"iyNo":46.49968297033231,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":55,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":150,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:41.857Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House electi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T17:31:01.187Z","priceCents":24,"iy":266.3854926499115,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T18:02:53.151Z","priceCents":23,"iy":281.63921740673663,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T00:16:12.490Z","priceCents":24,"iy":266.5581215858652,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T01:32:04.413Z","priceCents":23,"iy":281.8418911615967,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T08:32:15.559Z","priceCents":9,"iy":851.7931251844826,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T09:17:22.607Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.05201799914374,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T12:32:05.095Z","priceCents":9,"iy":852.1196010084336,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:16:03.557Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1320.5367129220156,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:31:24.931Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.1940145349246,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T15:32:22.519Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1320.6983572683446,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T18:02:50.136Z","priceCents":24,"iy":267.01442070384,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T18:16:05.560Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.29571452907385,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T18:46:00.502Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1321.1102716997464,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:03:19.705Z","priceCents":24,"iy":267.04033059862473,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:32:10.612Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.330283134932,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:46:20.370Z","priceCents":24,"iy":267.0588407451308,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T20:02:23.407Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.34398247166763,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T20:45:58.854Z","priceCents":24,"iy":267.0841420956959,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T21:17:07.280Z","priceCents":23,"iy":282.37791036126487,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T13:46:02.778Z","priceCents":22,"iy":299.5227204869122,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T22:46:00.452Z","priceCents":23,"iy":285.0536353187793,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:07.118Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2057.753337389331,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T03:47:04.465Z","priceCents":23,"iy":287.2035955171918,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T04:31:11.868Z","priceCents":20,"iy":343.9850908379807,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T20:31:04.518Z","priceCents":23,"iy":291.1014416797604,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T13:46:41.908Z","priceCents":31,"iy":200.07815639875525,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T14:16:32.794Z","priceCents":34,"iy":174.50173922239878,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:31:25.190Z","priceCents":33,"iy":183.1194493671914,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:46:05.572Z","priceCents":34,"iy":175.08560225086381,"cri":1.941}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 175%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 31c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P9","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":31},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH09D-P3","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th D"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Ohio's%209th%20D","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":129}