{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P71","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House election be at least 71 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 11th District by 71 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":14,"spread":6,"volume":2,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":847.8479105270493,"iyNo":6.410948283758406,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":3.45,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:26:44.983Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P65","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P68","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th District House elect","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":7,"iy":924.0959132338046,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.522Z","priceCents":8,"iy":799.9367292450007,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 848%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.75)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P47","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P50","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OH11D-P53","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 11th "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Ohio's%2011th%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":175}