{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 5th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":94,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":99,"spread":5,"volume":1747,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":455,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":4.3090663898055475,"iyNo":1057.6364061200484,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0532,"cvr":null,"overround":3.4,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":1181,"askDepthUsd":237,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:04:05.360Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:55:34.635Z","priceCents":85,"iy":378.3513515161493,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T22:40:47.222Z","priceCents":91,"iy":676.3223052989952,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:55:45.889Z","priceCents":92,"iy":771.8319493376684,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:15:27.501Z","priceCents":93,"iy":895.2009633201005,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T20:41:01.603Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1057.4564704562492,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 85c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P2","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":85},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Oklahoma's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":136}