{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 5th District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":15,"spread":3,"volume":999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":48,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":495.0922363618428,"iyNo":9.20626059350534,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":3.4,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":1386,"askDepthUsd":935,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:01.630Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 5th District House ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:55:34.635Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1046.0302071328836,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T22:55:48.636Z","priceCents":7,"iy":888.6846838355991,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:11:01.078Z","priceCents":9,"iy":676.3483339513425,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:00:52.396Z","priceCents":10,"iy":602.2925620077151,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:01:10.406Z","priceCents":12,"iy":491.7333078587311,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 495%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.25)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P2","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OK05R-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Oklahoma's","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}