{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P44","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":76,"bestAsk":77,"spread":1,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":33.13644410611288,"iyNo":198.62165842914982,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.52,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":800,"askDepthUsd":806,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:35:23.928Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P38","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P41","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P47","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P50","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P53","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House elec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":5,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:00:58.769Z","priceCents":75,"iy":237.57040328389553,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T17:17:04.788Z","priceCents":76,"iy":250.77474389154673,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T19:47:12.747Z","priceCents":75,"iy":237.6296926438962,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:16:00.232Z","priceCents":71,"iy":193.97145838917388,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T22:32:12.133Z","priceCents":75,"iy":237.6890116044334,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T05:31:39.208Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.0986956103286,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-31T17:03:09.459Z","priceCents":75,"iy":238.0879903634158,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T01:47:22.285Z","priceCents":76,"iy":251.51416240525154,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:16:00.602Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.46363567532381,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T02:31:57.269Z","priceCents":76,"iy":251.5311300149359,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T05:32:13.894Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.52162841812742,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T16:01:13.933Z","priceCents":76,"iy":251.83913380411093,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T23:31:20.131Z","priceCents":75,"iy":238.74674312376675,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T00:16:13.754Z","priceCents":76,"iy":252.02748571420267,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T05:31:11.523Z","priceCents":71,"iy":194.94555779517066,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T16:31:10.215Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.11586091536608,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:15:55.629Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.15374108554428,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T17:31:12.668Z","priceCents":75,"iy":239.13779359896918,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T18:31:07.085Z","priceCents":76,"iy":252.44638199014386,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:02:00.152Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.32735364561938,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T16:47:13.868Z","priceCents":76,"iy":252.95853887354488,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:46:13.543Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.60783237461717,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:01:22.673Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.0565657140647,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:45:56.129Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.67936341195343,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:22.451Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.1025592738092,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.608Z","priceCents":71,"iy":195.76424047931607,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:01:29.952Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.51892307647316,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T01:45:55.819Z","priceCents":77,"iy":268.2370408009489,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T02:17:08.809Z","priceCents":76,"iy":253.733746039412,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:32:09.104Z","priceCents":77,"iy":268.304772073163,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:30:56.286Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.2297982312437,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T17:01:37.654Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.07621040660987,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:16:40.505Z","priceCents":71,"iy":196.5850711559824,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:16:35.914Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.64212408617078,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:16:00.847Z","priceCents":77,"iy":269.45670605883066,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T03:31:28.651Z","priceCents":76,"iy":254.8818979825556,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:15:55.905Z","priceCents":77,"iy":269.48166417224735,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T04:31:49.158Z","priceCents":75,"iy":241.48942739438422,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T05:03:03.955Z","priceCents":71,"iy":197.08670636286234,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T17:45:57.691Z","priceCents":76,"iy":255.2156360518307,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:32:01.741Z","priceCents":71,"iy":197.3857790229834,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T21:45:55.701Z","priceCents":76,"iy":255.309780775965,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:16:36.775Z","priceCents":77,"iy":269.97822018791567,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:45:53.996Z","priceCents":71,"iy":197.51753649329885,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:15:57.183Z","priceCents":76,"iy":255.76853003353207,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T18:31:15.708Z","priceCents":77,"iy":270.432313548683,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T05:00:56.422Z","priceCents":71,"iy":197.95946303524298,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:15:58.076Z","priceCents":77,"iy":271.00027982309626,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T03:31:16.818Z","priceCents":71,"iy":198.3716606926803,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T17:32:55.726Z","priceCents":76,"iy":256.9123689876579,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P38","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P41","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-OR03D-P47","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Oregon's%203rd","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":239}