{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P20","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be at least 20 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":20,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":526,"iyYes":508.39452428074526,"iyNo":9.453617187038649,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":1.93,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8},"computedAt":"2026-05-26T03:20:24.777Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Oregon be a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:20:51.234Z","priceCents":15,"iy":374.00223376676604,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:35:39.819Z","priceCents":12,"iy":494.67134848764863,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.458Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1307.079906214425,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:30:55.036Z","priceCents":12,"iy":504.5364296664908,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 508%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ORGOVD-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20governor%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":131}