{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P48","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 2nd District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":47,"bestBid":45,"bestAsk":49,"spread":4,"volume":130,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":80,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":82.5153727269738,"iyNo":55.23756356103205,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0889,"cvr":null,"overround":3.68,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1427,"askDepthUsd":3849,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:04.913Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P39","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P51","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P57","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":39,"iy":104.42914661805283,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:11:01.078Z","priceCents":40,"iy":100.33739020157275,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T03:41:55.878Z","priceCents":41,"iy":96.29181064420007,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:05:59.734Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.41576915981452,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T05:45:54.768Z","priceCents":43,"iy":88.71479950903044,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:00:52.015Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.25740896894595,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:51:49.302Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.01747881334292,"cri":1.222}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 42c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P48","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 2nd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":42},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P33","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P36","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA02D-P39","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":160}