{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 64 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 3rd District by 64 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":93,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":96,"spread":2,"volume":156,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":156,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":4.3090663898055475,"iyNo":1057.6364061200484,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0213,"cvr":null,"overround":4.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1032,"askDepthUsd":442,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:00:44.052Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P76","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P79","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P82","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P85","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P88","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District Hous","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:35:34.008Z","priceCents":88,"iy":489.6186218485756,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:11:01.078Z","priceCents":89,"iy":541.213801693332,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:35:26.410Z","priceCents":90,"iy":602.9636074293928,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:05:24.733Z","priceCents":91,"iy":677.4296709097038,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:21:23.489Z","priceCents":92,"iy":770.7350213914549,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:51:49.302Z","priceCents":93,"iy":891.5406463216632,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":92,"iy":773.9909536638036,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T11:35:28.180Z","priceCents":93,"iy":894.4678173404233,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T11:55:38.611Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1056.7431981589064,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.021","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 84c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P64","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 64 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":84},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P67","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P70","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-PA03D-P73","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Pennsylvania","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":187}